Research

My research is in population biology, mathematical modelling, evolutionary epidemiology, species range shifts, infectious diseases and public health.

COVID-19 modelling

During the COVID-19 pandemic my research program involved infectious disease modelling to support the government of Newfoundland and Labrador. I have been quoted in the British Medical Journal, the New York Times, the Globe and Mail, and local media such as NTV, the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, and The Telegram. Peer-reviewed publications that support these statements of expert opinion are here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.

My research group continues to do modelling to support future pandemic preparedness, and to support regions that implement an elimination strategy.

I appeared in a Fields Institute Panel. I was lead organizer for the AARMS-EIDM Summer School in Modelling Infectious Diseases.

Publications

For my publications, see Google Scholar.

When financially possible, our publications are open access. If you can’t access a publication, please email me. Below are links to publications that may be more difficult to access. You might also search MedRxiv and BioRxiv for author-typeset copies of the publications.

• When populations move north but disease moves south: counterintuitive impacts of climate change on disease spread